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Year 12 Maths Standard 1 (2027) Relative frequency and probability

Relative Frequency

20 practice questions 0 video lessons Theory + worked examples

Learn about relative frequency for NSW Year 12 Mathematics Standard 1 (NESA outcome MST-12-S1-07). Relative frequency is the fraction of trials in which an outcome actually happened — how often it occurred divided by the total number of trials.

You will find relative frequencies from a frequency table, use them to estimate a probability, and see that the more trials you run, the nearer they tend to get to the theoretical probability — the idea behind estimating things like the chance a product is faulty.

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Theory

Relative frequency is the fraction of trials in which an outcome happened. This Year 12 Standard 1 (NSW) guide shows how to find it from a frequency table, use it as an estimate of probability, and why more trials bring it closer to the theoretical probability.

Relative frequency is the fraction of trials in which an outcome actually happened. It is found by dividing the frequency of the outcome by the total number of trials (or results). Find the total by adding every frequency in the table.

A relative frequency lies from \(0\) to \(1\) and can be written as a fraction, a decimal or a percentage. The relative frequencies of all the outcomes add to \(1\).

Relative frequency is the experimental probability: it is used to estimate a probability. As the number of trials increases, the relative frequency usually settles closer to the theoretical probability, so a large sample gives the best estimate.

Relative frequency of heads as the number of tosses growsRelative frequency of heads after 10, 25, 50, 100, 250, 500 and 1000 tosses: 0.8, 0.36, 0.58, 0.46, 0.528, 0.488, 0.503, settling near 0.5.00.20.40.60.81025501002505001000number of tosses (not to scale)relative frequency of heads0.5
A coin tossed again and again: with few tosses the relative frequency of heads jumps around; with many tosses it settles close to \(0.5\).
Relative frequencies of goals scoredBar chart of relative frequencies 0.15, 0.3, 0.275, 0.175 and 0.1 for 0 to 4 goals; they add to 1.goals per game (40 games)00.10.20.30.1500.310.27520.17530.14relative frequency
The relative frequencies of goals in Example 1: \(0.15+0.3+0.275+0.175+0.1=1\).

Divide the frequency by the total of all the frequencies:

\[\text{relative frequency}=\dfrac{\text{frequency of the outcome}}{\text{total number of trials}}\]
relative frequency=frequencytotal

Use it as an estimate of the probability:

\[P(\text{faulty})\approx\dfrac{\text{number faulty}}{\text{number checked}}\]
P≈number faultynumber checked
Groups. For a group such as “fewer than \(2\)” or “\(51\) or fewer”, add the frequencies in the group first, then divide by the total.

How to find a relative frequency

  1. Add every frequency in the table to get the total number of trials.
  2. Find the frequency of the outcome (add the frequencies if it is a group).
  3. Divide frequency by total, then give a fraction, decimal or percentage. Use it as an estimate of the probability.
Example 1 β€” From a frequency table
A soccer team recorded the goals it scored in each game of a season. Find the relative frequency, as a decimal, of (i) exactly \(3\) goals (ii) fewer than \(2\) goals.
Goals\(0\)\(1\)\(2\)\(3\)\(4\)
Games\(6\)\(12\)\(11\)\(7\)\(4\)
Solution

Add the frequencies for the total, then divide.

\(\text{total}\)\(=\)\(6+12+11+7+4=40\)
\(\text{(i) RF}(3)\)\(=\)\(\dfrac{7}{40}=0.175\)
\(\text{(ii) fewer than }2\)\(=\)\(6+12=18\)
\(\text{RF}\)\(=\)\(\dfrac{18}{40}=0.45\)
RF=1840=0.45

(i) \(0.175\)   (ii) \(0.45\)

Example 2 β€” Estimating a probability
A bottle cap was tossed \(250\) times and landed upside-down \(85\) times. Estimate the probability that it lands upside-down, as a decimal and as a percentage, and the probability that it does not.
Solution

Use the relative frequency as the estimate.

\(P(\text{upside-down})\)\(\approx\)\(\dfrac{85}{250}=0.34\)
\(\)\(=\)\(0.34\times100\%=34\%\)
\(P(\text{not upside-down})\)\(\approx\)\(1-0.34=0.66\)
P≈85250=0.34

About \(0.34\) (\(34\%\)), and \(0.66\) that it does not.

Example 3 β€” More trials, better estimate
A spinner has four equal sectors, one of them blue, so the theoretical probability of blue is \(0.25\). It was spun in three sessions. Which session’s relative frequency of blue is closest to \(0.25\)?
SessionSpinsBlue
\(1\)\(20\)\(8\)
\(2\)\(100\)\(29\)
\(3\)\(800\)\(196\)
Solution

Divide blue by spins for each session.

\(\text{Session 1: }\dfrac{8}{20}\)\(=\)\(0.4\)
\(\text{Session 2: }\dfrac{29}{100}\)\(=\)\(0.29\)
\(\text{Session 3: }\dfrac{196}{800}\)\(=\)\(0.245\)
196800=0.245

Session 3 (\(0.245\)) is closest — it has by far the most spins.

Example 4 β€” Relative frequencies add to 1
Students were asked how they travel to school: \(18\) catch the bus, \(27\) come by car, and the rest walk. The relative frequency of walking is \(0.25\). How many students were surveyed, and how many walk?
Solution

The relative frequencies add to \(1\), so bus and car together make up \(1-0.25=0.75\) of the total \(N\).

\(18+27\)\(=\)\(45\)
\(0.75\times N\)\(=\)\(45\)
\(N\)\(=\)\(\dfrac{45}{0.75}=60\)
\(\text{walk}\)\(=\)\(60-45=15\)
N=450.75=60

\(60\) students were surveyed and \(15\) walk.

Common pitfalls

Divide by the total of the frequencies. Not by the number of rows or categories in the table. Always add the frequency column first.
Read group words exactly. “More than \(51\)” starts at \(52\); “\(51\) or fewer” includes \(51\); “younger than \(8\)” does not include \(8\).
A few trials give a poor estimate. A relative frequency need not equal the theoretical probability — it only gets closer as the number of trials increases.

Frequently asked questions

What is relative frequency?

Relative frequency is the number of times an outcome happened divided by the total number of trials. If a cap lands upside-down 85 times in 250 tosses, the relative frequency is 85 over 250, which is 0.34.

How do you calculate relative frequency from a table?

Add all the frequencies to get the total, then divide the frequency of the outcome by that total. For a group of values, add their frequencies first.

What is the difference between relative frequency and probability?

Relative frequency comes from what actually happened in an experiment. Theoretical probability is worked out from equally likely outcomes. Relative frequency is used as an estimate of probability.

Why does a larger number of trials give a better estimate?

With only a few trials the results jump around by chance. As the number of trials increases, the relative frequency usually settles closer to the theoretical probability.

Do relative frequencies add up to 1?

Yes. The relative frequencies of all the outcomes in a table add to 1, or 100 percent, because together they cover every trial.

Is relative frequency the same as experimental probability?

Yes. Relative frequency is also called experimental probability, because it is found by doing an experiment or survey rather than by reasoning about equally likely outcomes.