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Year 12 Maths Extension 1 (2027) Statistical analysis

Mean & variance of a binomial distribution

20 practice questions 2 video lessons Theory + worked examples

Learn the mean and variance of a binomial distribution for NSW Year 12 Mathematics Extension 1. From the number of trials and the probability of success, you can predict a binomial variable's average and spread directly.

You will learn to apply the results for the expected value and variance of a binomial distribution, and use them to solve practical probability problems — an efficient statistical tool in the Extension 1 course.

Practice 20 questions
Practice questions

Every question with a fully worked solution.

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Watch 2 video(s)
  • Binomial distribution expected value variance and standard deviation Watch
  • The Binomial Distribution: Mathematically Deriving the Mean and Variance Watch
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Theory

For XBin(n,p), the mean is np, the variance np(1p), and the standard deviation np(1p) — because X is a sum of n Bernoulli trials. This NSW Year 12 Mathematics Extension 1 topic is NESA outcome ME1-12-06.

For a binomial variable XBin(n,p), the mean and variance follow simple formulas, because X is the sum of n identical Bernoulli variables.

E(X)=μ=np,Var(X)=σ2=np(1p),σ=np(1p).

Since X=X1++Xn (each Bernoulli, mean p, variance pq), the means add and — because the trials are independent — the variances add, giving np and npq.

NESA link. Part of the Year 12 The binomial distribution and sampling distribution of the mean focus area, outcome ME1-12-06 ("solves problems involving binomial distributions, sampling distribution of the mean and the central limit theorem") with MAO-WM-01.

Mean and spread of a binomialA binomial histogram with the mean np marked by a dashed line and the spread of two standard deviations shown across the centre.xyμ = np0246810
Centre μ=np; spread σ=np(1p).
A binomial is a sum of Bernoulli trialsThe binomial variable X is the sum of n independent Bernoulli variables, so their means add to np and variances add to npq.X₁BernX₂BernXₙBernXBin(n,p)
X is a sum of n Bernoulli trials, so means and variances add.
E(X)=np,Var(X)=np(1p),σ=np(1p).
E(X) = np, Var(X) = np(1-p), sigma = sqrt(np(1-p))

For reverse problems, the ratio recovers p in one step:

Var(X)μ=np(1p)np=1p.
Var(X)/mean = 1 - p

These are for Bin(n,p) only. The standard deviation is np(1p); don't forget the square root.

How to find or use mean and variance

  1. Forward: μ=np, σ2=np(1p), σ=np(1p).
  2. Reverse: use Varmean=1p to find p.
  3. Then find n from n=μp.
  4. Check the values are consistent (\(0
Example 1 — All three
XBin(48,0.25). Find the mean, variance and standard deviation.
Solution
μ=48×0.25=12
σ2=48×0.25×0.75=9
σ=3
mean 12, variance 9, sd 3

μ=12, σ2=9, σ=3.

Example 2 — Fractional p
XBin(45,13). Find the mean and standard deviation.
Solution
μ=45×13=15
σ2=45×13×23=10
σ=10
mean 15, sd sqrt(10)

μ=15, σ=10.

Example 3 — Reverse problem
XBin(n,p) has mean 15 and variance 12. Find n and p.
Solution
1p=1215=0.8p=0.2
n=150.2=75
n = 75, p = 0.2

n=75, p=0.2.

Example 4 — Find n and variance
XBin(n,0.4) has mean 10. Find n and the variance.
Solution
n=100.4=25
σ2=25×0.4×0.6=6
n = 25, variance 6

n=25, σ2=6.

Common pitfalls

Standard deviation. It is np(1p) — take the square root of the variance.
Reverse shortcut. Varmean=1p gives p in one step.
Only for binomials. np and np(1p) apply to Bin(n,p), not a general distribution.
Consistency. Check \(0

Frequently asked questions

What are the mean and variance of a binomial?

E(X)=np and Var(X)=np(1p).

What is the standard deviation?

σ=np(1p).

Why do the formulas work?

X is a sum of n independent Bernoulli variables, so means and variances add.

How do you recover p from mean and variance?

Use Varmean=1p.

How do you find n?

Divide the mean by p: n=μp.